Abstract:
Unemployment is currently one of the biggest problems of a contemporary era and is
manifested by a considerable number of countries worldwide, which vary according to levels
of progress and the socio-economic and political systems that have imbalances in the job
marker. This was the prime motivation to undertake the present research.
The analysis of the existing theories on unemployment revealed a difference between
economists when interpreting unemployment. Thismay be due to the rapid dynamics and
random changes that occur in the labor market.Further, when analyzing the unemployment in
the Arab Maghreb countries, the study found that the unemployment rates are very high
among young people under the age of 30 years, and that the most important reasons for the
aggravation of this problem is due to intervention in the normal functioning of the market,
especially with regard to the government intercession to ensure a minimum wage; in addition,
educational and training qualities do not correspond to labor marketrequirements, while
technological progress has a further negative impact on the increase of unemployment
The study, by examining the unemployment rate in the Arab Maghreb countries during the
study period 2000_2016 through quantitative,infernal, and econometric approaches, found
that the unemployment rates are very affected by the GDP, because it explains the dynamics
of the temporal evolution of unemployment rates in these countries. The results showed that
the time series is stable with the first differences using a ljing box test that depends on the
self-partial and partial correlation coefficients and the AugmentedDicky Fuller test, and that
the unemployment rates are directly linked to the earlier values which are economically
acceptable, since the number of unemployees is currently calculated as the sum of previous
years' stock of unemployed persons, as well as the number of job seekers who are not
employed in the current year, according to VAR models. Furthermore, when using the panel
data, it was found that the appropriate model for this study is the FEM model for the
individual specificity of each Maghreb country. The study concluded that there is no
relationship between the integration of the variables through the integration tests301
Asynchronous pedroni , when unemployment rates are predicted in 2025, unemployment
rates will rise in Algeria, Morocco and Mauritania, and will decrease in all Libya and Tunisia
compared to current unemployment rates .
